2010 年 A stock market investment strategy in the central economic work conference, we believe that the Chinese economy in 2010 will be full recovery of the change. demand for the market to large-scale recovery and growth mechanism of the formation of endogenous basis of the policy system, manifested in continuation of the existing financial policy on the one hand, on the other hand to adjust the economic structure through structural policies,tods shoe, structural policies and overall performance for the gradual a 2010 analysis of the main factors A shares 1,[url=http://www.buytods.com]buy tods, domestic A-share market in 2010 the main cause. On the one hand, the policy of With 10 years of the two sessions, we believe that relevant On the other hand, full recovery of the economy also will give rise to expectations of the market exit policy. help eliminate this uncertainty, contribute to the formation of policies consistent with market expectations, but with the sustained economic recovery in 2010 and rising inflationary pressures, the discussion of future policy will continue to exit the market focus, the formation of new policy uncertainty. Content from the dark horse camp Overall, we believe that changes in policy is expected in 2010 will follow the recovery and rising inflation expectations in monetary policy under the expected - the central bank to raise interest rates led to the elimination of interest rate expectations - full recovery of the economy and inflation expectations under the policy of transformation Each point in time the expected changes in policy will impact on the market. 2, changes in earnings estimates inverted were 11.5%, 10.4%, 9.3%, 9.1%, the macroeconomic trends of the annual economic growth rate that’s expected to be affected, and further affect the micro-enterprise earnings expectations. The current market for 10 years, average GDP forecast is lower than our forecast, the future high economic growth in the first quarter, the market is expected to improve macroeconomic expected, and as the second half of the decline of economic growth, macro is also expected to fall Similarly,[url=http://www.buytods.com]tod’s shoes, expected earnings of listed companies will show the overall change is the same time, we believe that performance-than-expected first half of 2010 will further increase the proportion of companies. Potential from the two main factors, one rebound in the industrial PPI increased profitability, as PPI-related industries accounted for all A shares in the total market value of 47.81%, accounting for the CSI 300’s 44.80% market capitalization, we believe that , with the PPI’s in 2010 from negative to positive, the future will increase the overall profitability of industrial enterprises, thereby promoting performance-than-expected; the second is expected to push interest rates from banks in the first half of the expected increase in earnings. By 2006-2008 the deposit reserve ratio and interest rates expected impact on the profitability of the banking industry research,[url=http://www.buytods.com]tods mens shoes, we found that the deposit reserve ratio increase year on year net profit growth in the banking industry consensus is expected to have little effect, while the interest rate expected net profit growth of consensus on the banking industry is expected to be positive (because of the early Bank rate hike to benefit from the rise in net interest margin). We expect the second half in the second quarter and the beginning of the end of the domestic interest rates or behavior, therefore, we believe that by raising interest rates is expected to promote the first half of 2010 net profit of the banking sector is expected to be consistent with the growth rate of 22.16% on the basis of the current to continue improved. Dark Horse Camp Director 3, broad market,[url=http://www.buytods.com]tods shoes, abundant liquidity, the monthly changes in market liquidity was tight before the song after the macro group judgments according to the company in 2010, capital adequacy in the banking system, credit inertia and policy adjustment under the constraints of multiple factors, the credit amount will shrink to 7.2-7.8 trillion, but because a large number of global hot money inflows, a continuation of previous long-term loans, and the second phase of a large number of long-term project started, the currency flow speed increases and other reasons, 2010 is still ample liquidity, narrow money supply M1 will increase about 17.2%, M2 increased by 18.3% or so, M2-M1 will be 1.20% at the same time, although 10 new credit over 09 years decreased, but the form of monthly credit will continue the traditional pattern of high to low, so we believe that entering the market in 2010 will face the new credit market liquidity brought about by the recovery, while 10 mobility than the first half of the second half off. 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