Its cool everyone will download it… but if you used RC1 its gonna be a bad day for all when the program crashes two seconds into use it. I hope they know what they are doing.
yeah, but even for new world records guinness sets up stipulations you must follow in order to actually make it count. So they probably have a certain benchmark they have to cross.
The only funny thing about this is the pipedream that it would even come close to being the most popular download. What about all the instant messengers, including the granddaddy of them all - ICQ? And P2P software such as Kazaa or Napster which were downloaded at a staggering rate?
Even those would pale into insignificance when you consider that Microsoft’s cumulative security patches are downloaded automatically by hundreds of millions of PCs every month. In fact, it’s probably a safe bet that the top downloaded program of all time was likely to be Windows XP service pack 2.
Let’s try to put some figures on this. Latest trend figures show that 15% of PCs run Windows Vista, with a further 4% running Windows 98 or Windows 2000. This latter figure is identical to Apple’s 4% market share and they exceed Linux’s 1% share. The overwhelming operating system is Windows XP with 78% market share. There are also an estimated 300 million internet users worldwide. That means almost a quarter of a billion people are most likely using Windows XP.
Lets further assume that only half of them use the default setting of Automatic Updates and that most of them only go online once a week. Even with those pessimistic assumptions that would still mean more than 21 million downloads per day within a week of Microsoft issuing an XP security patch.
Neither do I…nor would I believe 8 million a second for even a day! Particularly when, from the figures quoted above, at least 95% of worldwide PCs use Windows and so they’ll automatically have the Flash Player installed along with the IE browser…even if they’ve subsequently switched over to an alternative browser like Firefox
Plus, using your 300 mil figure, it would take about 40 days for every internet user to have downloaded Flash Player. So, unless Adobe’s releasing a new version every month, it’s not happening.