NFL Underdogs - Six Reasons They Are a Good BetHm… take a chance on the dog, or just go with the favorite? That’s a choice that bettors are faced with each week during the pro football season. There are times when NFL favorites warrant your attention. However, researching the dogs is truly the best way to make money long term. Here are six good reasons to pay attention to the dogs every season…1. ‘Just Win’ BabyVince Lombardi probably said it best, because unlike college football teams that are fighting for BCS rankings, there is no need for one pro team to blow-out another pro team. Favored teams that get an early lead,Google, don’t normally try to run up the score in the NFL. Coaches prefer to not embarrass their opponent and/or risk injury to their key players, once they have a comfortable lead. However, many big leads on Sunday afternoon often dwindle, with underdogs getting a late, back door cover. The players know who is favored and by what spread, but they don’t get paid to cover the spread…only to play and try to win.2. ParityIf you don’t believe in the disparity of parity, take a look at where these Super Bowl teams from recent years are in the standings right now: St. Louis in 2000, Baltimore in 2001, New England in 2002, Tampa Bay in 2003, Carolina in 2004 and the Giants in 2007. All of these teams had losing records the year before, and as of this writing, 3 of them are below .500, with two of them actually at 0-5.3. Public OpinionThe average bettors love the most popular or favored teams. The bookmakers know this and purposely push lines unreasonably high. Almost every week, with the right research, you can spot teams that should maybe be favored, but are getting points against a popular team that has been installed as a favorite, due to public opinion and misconception.4. RespectAs I said above, underdogs usually don’t get the right respect from the public, which often time leads to a higher than warranted spread. Likewise, a lot of underdogs don’t get the respect they deserve from their opponent. The better teams will sometimes take the not-so-good teams too lightly. Researching historical trends of each matchup will often times reveal situations in which underdogs are poised to pull off the upset.5. CourageRight in line with respect, is the fact that most bettors just can’t muster up the courage to go with certain underdogs. They see what is perceived as a good team versus what is perceived as a bad team and assume it won’t be a contest. They are wearing blinders and have formed a false opinion about how bad some teams are, based on a recent blowout or perhaps a past personal gambling loss. But with the right combination of statistical and situational research, some very undervalued dogs can be spotted each week.6. Spread vs Straight UpHistory shows us that if you just pick the straight up winners, you will cover the spread about 84% of the time! If you don’t believe it, check last week’s spreads and final scores. Armed with this knowledge, research the underdogs thoroughly and find the ones that are truly capable of winning straight up. Then, if you’re going to bet anyway, consider taking them to win straight-up on the money line and collect anywhere from 1.2 to 4 times your original bet. A 3-point dog will pay around $140 for $100, versus just $100 for $110 wagered on the same team plus the 3 points. Look for the straight-up winner and don’t put so much influence and emphasis on the spread.In SummaryJust playing all underdogs every weekend is certainly not the answer. It would yield about 50% winners through the course of a season, which is obviously not profitable. However, with the proper research, you can spot some very high-value underdogs each week that are capable of a straight up win. http://www.8d8e.cn/plus/view.php?aid=36028 http://forum.holodigmmusic.com/showthread.php?p=18647#post18647 http://salaryitis.com/doascw21/blog/235823/
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